Saturday, 9 February 2019

Liverpool v Bournemouth Today: Analytics and Form Heatmaps

I have been running some analysis on today's games. Here are some numbers for one of the crucial ones - Liverpool v Bournemouth. I've developed a "heatmap" to show the form of both teams!

Here is a heatmap for Livepool. Attcking from increases left to right, while defensive form increases up the page. Believe me, this shows phenomenal form!


Compare this with Bournemouth. They are clearly less good!!

So, here is my odds estimate!

    x:0  x:1  x:2  x:3  x:4  x:5  x:6  x:7  x:8  x:9
0:y  57/1 90/1 367/1 1723/1 8332/1 49999/1 --- --- --- --- 
1:y  15/1 28/1 90/1 426/1 2272/1 16666/1 49999/1 --- --- --- 
2:y  9/1 16/1 58/1 234/1 1999/1 49999/1 --- --- --- --- 
3:y  8/1 13/1 45/1 229/1 1922/1 16666/1 49999/1 --- --- --- 
4:y  9/1 15/1 58/1 242/1 2499/1 16666/1 --- --- --- --- 
5:y  13/1 22/1 78/1 367/1 2173/1 16666/1 --- --- --- --- 
6:y  22/1 39/1 123/1 609/1 4999/1 24999/1 --- --- --- --- 
7:y  47/1 75/1 235/1 1281/1 8332/1 --- --- --- --- --- 
8:y  105/1 179/1 514/1 7142/1 24999/1 --- --- --- --- --- 
9:y  164/1 275/1 745/1 4999/1 49999/1 49999/1 --- --- --- --- 

summary:  Home win, 1/8; Away win, 29/1; Score draw 17/1; No score draw, 57/1.

Looks like the most likely result (by a whisker) is 3 - nil to Liverpool.


A reminder, this is a new method and still needs to be validated, so use with caution.

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